The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reported a 2.6% year-on-year increase in global passenger demand for June 2025, though growth slowed compared to previous months due to disruptions from Middle East conflicts. While international and domestic markets both recorded moderate gains, capacity growth outpaced demand in several regions, leading to slight declines in load factors, though global levels remained strong at 84.5%.
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GLOThe International Air Transport Association (IATA) has published traffic results for June 2025, revealing that global passenger demand, measured in revenue passenger kilometres (RPK), rose by 2.6% compared with June 2024. However, the growth rate was slower than the gains recorded in earlier months.
Overall capacity, assessed in available seat kilometres (ASK), grew 3.4% year-on-year. The average load factor for June reached 84.5%, a decline of 0.6 percentage points compared to the same month last year.
International passenger traffic increased 3.2% from June 2024, with available capacity climbing 4.2%. Despite this, the load factor slipped to 84.4%, down 0.8 percentage points year-on-year. On the domestic front, demand was up 1.6% compared to June 2024, with capacity rising 2.1%. The domestic load factor stood at 84.7%, 0.4 percentage points lower than the year before.
Commenting on the results, IATA Director General Willie Walsh said: “Passenger demand in June rose by 2.6%, a slower pace than we had seen in prior months, largely due to disruptions from ongoing military conflict in the Middle East. With demand growing more slowly than the 3.4% capacity expansion, global load factors slipped 0.6 percentage points from last year’s record-high levels. Nevertheless, at 84.5%, load factors remain very strong. Looking ahead, with August schedules showing only a modest 1.8% increase in capacity, we expect load factors during the northern summer to remain close to recent historic highs.”
Regional Trends – International Passenger Markets
In June, international RPK rose 3.2% year-on-year, though every region experienced a drop in load factor as capacity increases surpassed demand. The sharpest decline compared to May came from the Middle East, where international traffic contracted 0.4% year-on-year under the impact of regional conflict.
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Asia-Pacific carriers posted the strongest growth, with demand up 7.2% year-on-year. Capacity grew 7.5%, while the load factor slipped slightly to 82.9% (down 0.2 percentage points).
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European airlines reported a 2.8% rise in demand versus June 2024. Capacity climbed 3.3%, bringing the load factor to 87.4%, 0.4 percentage points lower than the year before.
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North American carriers saw a 0.3% decline in traffic, despite a 2.2% increase in capacity. Their load factor fell to 86.9%, a significant 2.2 percentage point drop.
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Middle Eastern airlines recorded a 0.4% year-on-year decrease in demand, with capacity growing 1.1%. The load factor dropped to 78.7%, down 1.2 percentage points. Routes to North America (-7.0%) and Europe (-4.4%) were particularly affected by the ongoing military conflict.
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Latin American carriers achieved the strongest performance after Asia-Pacific, with traffic up 9.3%. Capacity surged 11.8%, but the load factor declined to 83.3%, a fall of 1.9 percentage points.
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African airlines experienced a 0.3% decline in demand, while capacity grew by the same margin. The load factor fell to 74.6%, 0.5 percentage points lower, with the decline attributed in part to rising competition from European and Middle Eastern operators.
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Source: IATA
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